Multibaggers Stock



Dear Readers,
 
Today i am publishing my 2nd Multibaggers Stock report.
 
I consider this small stock as a multibaggers due to company's business diversion from Agro based products to FMCG business and due to strong future growth prospect of the food manufacturing industries.
 
Buy stock now and accumulate on dips.



SANWARIA  AGRO  OIL  LTD
 
 
                             (Sector: Edible Oils & Solvent Extraction)
 
Date: 20/07/2017
 
 
 
Recommendation: Buy
Hold for 3 years
Target: 20 Rs
                                                 By Kamlesh Bavrva
 
 


 
CMP: 8.95
BSE Code: 519260
NSE Code: SANWARIA
Market Capital: 661 Cr.
Face Value: 1
52 Week Low / High: 16.4/4.35
Book Value: 4.48
Price/Book Value: 2
Dividend: Declared Interim Dividend 5% for the FY2017.
Promoter Share Pledge: Nil
 
Part – 1 Company Overview:
v It is a Sanwaria Group company.
v Sanwaria Group is a well-known Madhya Pradesh based Group in India, having presence since last more than two decades in various sectors like Renewable Energy, Hospitality, Warehousing, Infrastructure, power Sector and more prominently in FMCG Food Processing.
 
 
 Overview about - Group Companies
§  Sanwaria Energy Limited
v Sanwaria Energy Limited (SEL) has been incorporated in 2005 and the main Business of the company is generation, distribution, supply, and accumulation of electricity.
 
§  Sanwaria Infrastructures Limited
v Sanwaria Infrastructure Limited (SIL) has been incorporated in 2005’ and the main business of the company is to develop, construct, build, erect, demolish, alter, repair or any other work in connection with building, roads, including highways, wells dams, canals, reclamation or any other structural and architectural work.
 
§  Sanwaria Foods Limited
v Sanwaria Foods Limited (SFL) has been incorporated in 1994.
v The SFL has put up 70 TPD Flour Mill at Itarsi, in the State of Madhya Pradesh.
v The product of Roller Flour Mill are Maida, Suji, Atta and Bran.
 
§  Sanwaria Warehousing & Logistics Limited
v Sanwaria Warehousing & logistics Limited (SWLL) has been incorporated in 2010 and the main business of the company is to take ware house on lease, rent, hire and in the business of as a fleet carriers transporters in all its branches on land, air, water, & space, for transporting goods, articles, or things on all routes and lines on National and International level.
 
§  NS Agrawal Trading Corporation Limited
v NS Agrawal Trading Corporation Limited (NSATCL) is engaged in trading of Food Grains, Pulses, Wheat, Oil Seeds, Cereal etc and having Ashok Dall & Oil Mill (ADM) unit at Itarsi.
v The Company has setup 50 TPD Flour Mill at Itarsi and manufacture fortified wheat flour, wheat meal and Bran etc.
 
§  Sanwaria Singapore Pte Ltd.
v It is a full subsidiary company of Sawaria Agro based in UAE.
 
Overview of - Sanwaria Agro Oils Limited
v Sanwaria Agro Oils Limited is a FMCG Food Processing company of the Sanwaria Group.
v It was incorporated in April 1991, by Lt. Shri Ram Narayan Agrawal and commenced its operations in 1993.
v The Company has manufacturing units at 3 location - Mandideep, Itarsi and Betul, strategically located in the food production and consumption belt in India.
v It is one of the largest integrated food processors in India and is engaged in the business of manufacturing and selling of Rice, edible oil and staple food products like Pulses, Sugar, Soya Chunks, Wheat Flour, Rice Flour, Salt, Suji, Maida, Besan, Daliya, Soya Meal etc.
v It is ISO 14001, 22000, GMP and Halal Certified and Government Recognized Export Trading House.
v The Group has sustained exposure in manufacturing/processing/trading of Soya Products, Rice and rice related products, food grains and pulses.
v In Addition, the Company has marked it’s presence in international market for Import and Export for its various commodities and has a 100% Subsidiary in Singapore.
v Recently, the Company was ranked 336th in amongst 1000 India's finest Companies on the basis of Turnover by the “The Financial Express”.
 
 
Company Manufacturing Plant Capacity:
1. Solvent Extraction Plant – Capacity of 2500 TPD,
2. Soya Refinery – Capacity of 250 TPD
3. Rice Milling Plant – Capacity of 500 TPD
v It’s all units are situated in Madhya Pradesh and It’s a state where Soyabean, Paddy, Wheat are available in plenty along with Skilled, semi-skilled and unskilled labor
v The Company has commissioned and started the production of Basmati Rice with a capacity of 200 TPD in Mandideep in 2013 and 300 TPD in Kiratpur Itarsi in 2015.
v The Company has planned to open 100 ATM size stores starting with MP and then rest of India to sell our products directly to consumers.
v 11( Eleven) of such stores are already opened at different places of MP and another 10 (Ten) in pipeline.
 
Product Distribution Network:
v The Company has a strong distribution network with reputable brands like Sanwaria, Narmada, Sulabh and Nashira.
v The Company has ventured into direct retail by opening up ATM size retail outlets under the brand name ‘Sanwaria Kirana’ to reach the end customer directly.
 
Products:  Total 25 Products
§  Refined Soyabean Oil,
§  Refined Rice Bran Oil/ Fortified with vitamins
§  Basmati Rice (Exotic & Premium- Raw/Sella)
§  Chakki fresh Atta fortified with Soya Flour
§  Chakki fresh fortified Protein & Iron rich Atta
§  Maida,
§  Suji,
§  Rawa,
§  Besan,
§  Daliya,
§  Pulses (Dals),
§  Soya Flour,
§  Soya Chunks (Bari)
§  Salt,
§  Sugar,
§  Poha
§  Soya Meal,
§  Soya Meal High Protein
§  Rice Flour,
§  Lecithin
§  Aqua Feed
§  Poultry Feed


 
 
 
 
 
 


Sanwaria Oil Shareholding Pattern:




Share holding Pattern

 

% Share holding

% Share pledged

Shareholding of Promoters & Promoters Group

71.68

Nil

Public (FII+DII) holding

28.32

 

Total

100

 

 


Focus on Quarterly results of 31March FY17 & June Q1 June FY2018:



Quarterly Results Comparison (Rs in mn)

Particulars

31/03/2017

31/03/2016

 

30/06/2017

30/06/2016

Net sale from Operation

351243.51

269524.58

115209.83

57059

Other Income

1375.18

1196.65

194.34

310.02

Total

352618.69

270721.23

115404.17

57369.02

Profit/Loss fom operation before
other income,fiance cost and exceptional item

11706.29

11092.82

111460.19

54104.8

Net  Profit/Loss from ordinary activities  after Tax

4397.37

3409.49

1861.35

1084.6

Extra ordinary items
(Net of Tax Expenses)

0

-1841.63

0

0

Net Profit

4397.37

1567.86

1861.35

1084.6

Annualized EPS

1.19

0.45

2.02

1.25

 

 

 

 

 

 

March 2017:

v Revenue for the March FY17 has increased by 30.32% to Rs. 35124.35 mn from Rs. 26952.46 mn in FY16.

v In March FY17, the Company marked the Net Profit of Rs. 439.74 mn against Rs. 156.79 mn in the FY16 reflecting growth of 180.46%.

v In the March FY17, EBIDTA stood at Rs. 1243.36 mn as against Rs.1188.59 mn in FY16.

v In the March FY17, Net profit stood at Rs. 4397.37 mn as against Rs.1567.86 mn FY16.

v EPS of the Company stood at Rs. 1.19 in FY17 against Rs.0.45 in FY16.

 
June 2017

v Revenue for the June FY17 has increased by 101.9% to Rs. 11521 mn from Rs. 5705.9 mn in FY16.

v In June FY17, the Company marked the Net Profit of Rs. 186.1 mn against Rs. 108.4 mn in the FY16 reflecting growth of 71%.

v EPS of the Company stood at Rs. 2.02 in FY17 against Rs.1.25 in FY16.



Sanwaria Agro Oil Limited   (Fig in Rs. Cr.)

Particulars (Cr.)

Mar-17

Mar-16

Mar-15

Mar-14

Mar-13

Mar-12

Net sale/Revenue

3512.43

2695.25

2644.58

2445.28

1955.88

1411.75

Other Income

13.75

11.97

17.85

14.04

18.83

21.4

Total Income

3526.18

2,707.21

2,662.52

2,472.67

1,987.49

1,433.15

Total Expenses

3409.12

2667.29

2630.1

2441.4

1961.84

1413.94

Interest Expense

66.9

71.01

53.01

50.5

44.72

57.67

Depreciation & Amortization

7.27

7.93

6.64

4.8

6.15

5.9

Total Tax

6.18

5.83

7.39

7.21

5.11

2.16

PBDIT

124

100.46

92.06

86.57

76.52

82.8

PBT

50

21.52

32.41

31.27

25.65

19.23

Net Profit

43.97

15.68

25.04

24.07

20.54

17.05

Equity

34.81

34.81

34.81

34.81

34.81

34.81

EPS

1.19

0.45

0.72

0.69

0.59

0.49

 


Financial Chart:


 
 




Investment Rational:

 

v Changes in business from agro based business into an FMCG Business.


v Strong distribution network with reputable brands products like Sanwaria, Narmada, Sulabh and Nashira.


v Growth in Net sale @ 20% CAGR from last 5 Years.


v Growth in Net Profit @ 21% CAGR from last 5 Years.

 
v Growth in EBITDA @ 15% CAGR from last 5 Years.

v The company is operating Soybean rich state where soybean easily available.

v Due to growth in Food processing industries in India

v Due to increasing demand of Soya based products in India and outside.

v The Company has a strong products distribution network and Marketing network

v Exporting products to Middle East & Africa.

v Singapore based 100 %Subsidiary company which will get business from rest of the world along with cheaper finance facilities.

v The Company is foraying into direct retail by opening up company owned retail outlets under the brand name ‘Sanwaria Kirana’ to reach the end customer directly

 
Recommendation:

v Stock CMP is 8.92 Rs. and stock is trading at P/E 12.65 & TTM EPS 0.71, Based on above all points stock may touch 20 Rs. within a 3 years’ time horizon.

 

Please note:

v Note: The articles are not research reports but assimilation of information available on public domain and it should not be treated as a research report.

Registration status with SEBI
: I am not registered with SEBI under the (Research Analyst) regulations 2014 and as per clarifications provided by SEBI: “Any person who makes recommendation or offers an opinion concerning securities or public offers only through public media is not required to obtain registration as research analyst under RA Regulations”

Disclosure: It is safe to assume that I might have the discussed companies in my portfolio and hence my point of view can be biased. Readers should consult registered consultants before making any investments.



 



 
 














                                                                             









Date: 18/05/2017



Ambition Mica – Equity Research Report      By: Kamlesh









Part - I Company Overview





Company Name: Ambition Mica listed in BSE SME segment (M Group)
BSE Code: 539223
CMP: 50 and Share Lot Size - 2250
Market Capital: 59.26 Cr.
Face Value: 10
52 Week Low / High: 23/80
Book Value: 10.54
Dividend Yield: Nil
Share Pledge last 2 year: Nil
Current Price/Earning (TTM): 26.91
TTM EPS: 1.44
52 Week High/Low ratio – 3.5
Price to Book Value: 4.74



 


Company Profile: Ambition Mica was incorporated in 2010. Company IPO came on June 2015 and w.e.f 14 July 2015 Company listed in BSE SME segment in M group. Ambition Mica Ltd is one of the leading manufacturers of mid segment decorative laminates and door skins. They market laminates under brands like Antique, Art Lam, Antique Aurum, Antique Colourcore and Antique Natural Wood. They also market door skin under brand name Beautique, Texas, Micro Touch, Antique Natural Wood and Door Touch.

They are specialize in textured laminated and company has diverse range with 1152 designs in laminates and 429 designs in door skins that meets customer fancy.


Company at Glance:

§  1st April 2011, plant started with production of 1mm laminate sheet and door skin

§  7th May 2011, company got Quality Management System Certificate and become ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company

§  13th January 2012, Bureau of Indian Standard granted ISI certificate to company for unbeatable quality product.

§  1st October 2012, company started another hydraulic press to increase production capacity 80,000 sheets/month to 1,50,000 sheets/month

§  1st November 2013, company became first laminate penal corporation in India who launch their product in Android and I-Phone via Mobile apps

§  15th December 2013, company started 3rd hydraulic press to increase production capacity up to 2,20,000 sheets/month.


Brand: Company markets laminates products under the brand name of:

§  Antique

§  Art Lam

§  Antique Aurum

§  Antique Colourcore

§  Antique Natural Wood


Distribution Network: Company has strong dealership in Gujarat and other states.

Company have Antique brand dealers in  - Ahmedabad,Mahesana,Rajkot,Vadodara,Himmatnagar,Surat,Banglore,Udaipur,Jaipur,Hydrabad,Aurangabad,Hariyana,Raipir,Kanpur,Punjab,Mumbai,Kanpur.


Company have Art Lam brand dealers in  - Ahmedabad,Rajkot,Pune,Mahesana,Vadodara,Surat,Banglore,Indore,Nagpur,Delhi,Hydrabad,Aurangabad.



Products:

1 mm Laminate

§  Antique (24C)

§  Anique Aurum

§  Art Lam

§  Colourcore

§  Natural Wood

0.8 mm Laminate

§  Lam Art

 


Part – 2 Promoters Holdings



Share holding pattern as on 31st March 2016


% Share Holding

Promoters Holding

72.97

Others Public Holding

27.03

Total

100


Part – 3 Key Financial Figures




Ambition Mica

Particulars (in Rs. Cr)

Mar-16

Mar-15

Mar-14

Mar-13

Mar-12

Net Sale

49.180

38.170

35.550

20.480

13.710

YOY%

29%

7%

73%

49%


Other Income

0.140

0.010

0.020

0.010

0.000

Total Income

49.320

38.180

35.570

20.490

13.710

Total Expenses

46.740

35.570

34.200

19.260

12.900

Interest Expense

1.790

1.560

1.140

1.190

0.940

Depreciation & Amortization

0.500

0.460

0.490

0.380

0.290

TAX

0.860

0.870

0.510

0.350

0.530

PBDIT

4.890

4.620

3.000

2.790

2.060

PBT

2.600

2.600

1.370

1.220

0.830

Net Profit

1.710

1.740

0.870

0.870

0.290

Equity

3.970

2.900

2.900

2.250

2.000

EPS

4.300

6.000

3.000

3.900

1.500

OPM Margin %

9.620

12.100

8.380

13.620

14.880

Debt to Equity Ratio

0.820

1.390

2.280

3.080

2.350

Interest Coverage Ratio

2.450

2.670

2.200

2.030

1.880

Current Ratio

1.150

1.120

1.125

1.085

1.081

ROCE

10.450

12.810

6.850

8.250

3.970

ROE/RONW

13.630

25.230

19.110

25.820

12.910


Part – 4 Financial data Chart



Part - 5 Investment Rationale



§  Company has increased production capacity from 1,50,000 sheets/month to 2,20,000 sheets/month from December 2015 due to strong domestic demand and it is a strong sign for the company to grow as management is investing in capex.

§  Strong Management and Promoters group

§  During the year revenue of the company has increased from Rs.3817.63 to 4931.75 Lakhs

§  During the financial period company’s reserves and surplus increased from Rs. 398.30 to 573.90 Lakhs. The reserve further increased by the Rs. 322.20 lakhs on account of share premium received pursuant to issue of shares through IPO.

§  The Profit of the company decreased in spite of increase in sales was mainly due to increased competition in the market.

 


Part – 6 Recommendation -  BUY and hold for 3 year

§  From the above financial data, company has posted over 38 % CAGR in five years ending March 2016 while net profit came down 1.72 % on YOY basis.

§  From my point of view, any company has report CAGR above 20 is a good indication. Ambition Mica Net profit has posted over 50% CAGR in five year ending March 2016 which is above 20%.

§  Interest coverage ratio is 2.450 and in my point of view, interest coverage ratio of below 1.5 should raise doubts the company’s ability to meet the expenses on its borrowings.

§  Debt/equity ratio is 0.820 which is below 1

§  Current ratio is 1.15 and in my point of view, higher current ratio healthier short term liquidity comfort level. A current ratio below 1 indicates that the company may not be able to meet its obligations in the short run.

§  At CMP 50, Stock is trading at PE multiple of 11.6X to trailing twelve month earning whereas industry average is 40X. This makes the stock undervalue at current price.


So I value the company at conservative PE of 25X the price comes at Rs.107. Hence stock can be a multibagger for the next 3 years.

Please note:

Note: The articles are not research reports but assimilation of information available on public domain and it should not be treated as a research report.

Registration status with SEBI: I am not registered with SEBI under the (Research Analyst) regulations 2014 and as per clarifications provided by SEBI: “Any person who makes recommendation or offers an opinion concerning securities or public offers only through public media is not required to obtain registration as research analyst under RA Regulations”

Disclosure: It is safe to assume that I might have the discussed companies in my portfolio and hence my point of view can be biased. Readers should consult registered consultants before making any investments. I am not responsible for any profit and loss and it is not a investment advice. This is only my experience point of view.





















1 comment:

  1. Dear Sir,

    Really it is a valuable research report with buy recommendation.

    I am eager to see your next report and stock recommendation.

    ReplyDelete